The most incisive guide to issues facing the American family today . . . An invaluable resource for anyone wishing to stay on the cutting edge of research on family trends.

-W. Bradford Wilcox
Associate Professor of Sociology, University of Virginia 

Friday, June 19, 2015 (Volume 4: Issue: 19)

The Topic: Marriage—Of National Importance

The News Story: Iran Launches Official Matchmaking Site to Promote Marriage

The New Research: Retreat From Marriage Gives America the Blues

The News Story: Iran Launches Official Matchmaking Site to Promote Marriage

Iran took a drastic step toward promoting marriages and families this week, launching an official matchmaking website on Monday.

After years of measures aimed at curbing population growth, which the former supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei believed was putting a strain on the Iranian economy, the country is now headed the opposite direction. The government no longer promotes family planning programs, and legislation passed last year outlawed surgical sterilizations. Mahmoud Golzari, Deputy Minister of Youth Affairs and Sports, emphasized that the new matchmaking website is not for dating, but rather for encouraging marriage through careful selection by professional mediators. “We face a family crisis in Iran,” said Golzari. “There are many people who are single, and when that happens it means no families and no children.”

Newsweek reported on the story, emphasizing Amnesty International’s concern that in this promotion of a child-bearing climate, women “could face significant restrictions on their use of contraceptives and be further excluded from the labor market.” Perhaps, indeed, in a nation like Iran. But perhaps other countries would do well to emulate Iran’s concern over family growth, given what research tells us about the importance of family to a nation’s well-being. 

(Source: Stav Ziv, “Iran Launches Official Matchmaking Site to Promote Marriage,” Newsweek, June 15, 2015.)


The New Research: Retreat From Marriage Gives America the Blues

If Americans with higher incomes report higher levels of happiness, why have reported levels of happiness declined during the past fifty years when living standards and incomes have increased? Among economists, prevailing theories to explain the paradox rest on one of two claims: 1) that happiness depends more on whether one’s income matches that of peers than whether it matches or exceeds that of their parents at the same point in the life cycle; or 2) that happiness has declined for many as household income has grown more unequal. A study by three Italian economists, however, offers a more compelling explanation, finding that a decline in “social connections,” particularly in marriage, has played a significant role in depressing the American mood.

Bartolini of the University of Siena and his colleagues came to their conclusion after discovering, in their first set of regressions using U.S. General Social Survey data between 1972 and 2004, that several variables—including changes in household income, reference income (a measure of income relative to peers), work status, and demographic characteristics—did not satisfactorily account, in their most sophisticated models, for the decline in self-reported happiness over the same time period. However, their second set of regressions explored the relationship between happiness and variables that measure what they call “social connections and confidence in institutions” or SCC for short. In these tests, the economists were able to find a “more precise prediction of the [un]happiness trend.”

The SCC variables included marital status, number of children, social contacts, trust in individuals, group membership, and confidence in institutions. In later analysis, the researchers found that all these measures had declined between 1975 and 2004. But in the second set of regressions, all the SCC variables save number of children were found to be significantly linked with reduced happiness. More to the point, marital status was found to be the most determinative factor in these regressions, consistently correlating with happiness (p<0.01) in all tests. Indeed, the researchers found “that about three quarters of the total happiness variation predicated by all SCC indicators is due to the deterioration of marital status.”

Although the Italian scholars don’t explicitly make the connection, their findings related to “social contacts” explain, in part, why marital status represents the trump card of their study, as marriage appears to direct individuals to a more fulfilling social life centered around family. As they report: “Spending evenings with relatives, neighbors, or friends correlates with a greater happiness, while spending evenings in a bar is associated with a lower level of happiness.”

Yet the study does more than simply confirm the connections between marriage and happiness. The Italian economists make an impressive, empirical case that the decline in American happiness related to declines in social connections—coupled with changes in reference income—“more than offsets” any increase in happiness arising from increases in household income since the 1970s. Their findings therefore go a long way to explain a paradox that has puzzled their fellow economists while confirming that money, indeed, does not buy happiness.

(Source: Bryce J. Christensen and Robert W. Patterson, “New Research,” The Family in America, Spring 2012, Vol. 26 Number 1. Study: Stefano Bartolini, Ennio Bilancini, and Maurizio Pugno, “Did the Decline in Social Connections Depress Americans’ Happiness?” Social Indicators Research 110.3 [February 2013]: 1033-59.)